Trading Ideas
TLT (BONDS SHARES):ABC PATTERN AND SYMMETRY ANALYSIS
Thu, 12 Oct 2017 20:31:51 -0500
THE TLT SHARES IS SHOWING AN INTERESTING "ABC" PATTERN, JOINTLY WITH A GOOD SYMMETRY IN POINTS UP IN THE LAST THREE RUN UP, AS FOLLOWS: A) START IN MARCH 13, 2017: 26 BARS, 39 DAYS FOR A TOTAL OF 8.61 MOVE UP, WHICH MEANS 7,40% B) START IN MAY 12, 2017: 30 BARS, 45 DAYS FOR A TOTAL 0F 8.55 MOVE UP, WHICH MEANS 7.13% C)START IN JULY 11,2017: 41 BARS, 58 DAYS FOR A TOTAL OF 6.02 MOVE UP, WHICH MEANS 4.88% A) AND B) ARE QUIET SIMILAR IN POINTS AND VERY CLOSE IN BARS AND DAYS TO ACHIEVE SIMILAR RESULTS, 8.55/61 POINTS UP. THE C) RUN UP ACHIEVE 6.02 POINTS AND TOOK A LITTLE LONGER. YOU CAN SEE THE "ABC" FORMATION, WITH THE LEG "C" READY TO MOVE UP, BECAUSE IT BREAKS THE TANGENT TREND LINE DOWN. THE FIBONACCI EXTENSION FOR A) MOVE WAS 1.50% UP FOR B) MOVE WAS 1.618% UP AND FOR C) WAS 123.9% THE STOP LOSS: IS SET UP AT 123.62 THE MAIN WEAKNESSES OF THIS CHART IS THE FUNDAMENTAL CASE, OF A RATE INCREASE IN INTEREST BEFORE YEAR END; HOWEVER, THE CRITERIA OF A POSSIBLE INCREASE INTEREST RATE IS SPLIT, BECAUSE INFLATION REMAIN BELOW 2%. WE WILL SEE WHAT HAPPEN. GOOD LUCK!!!!!!
$TLT Golden Cross + 50MA Bounce
Mon, 25 Sep 2017 07:49:57 -0500
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/22/cramer-makes-the-bull-case-for-including-bonds-in-your-portfolio.html
The most important chart
Mon, 25 Sep 2017 04:43:41 -0500
TLT (20-year notes) should go below 100. This means the yield in 10-year notes can reach 3% vs 2.1% today.
Risk - Trend Break£
Wed, 20 Sep 2017 09:03:48 -0500
High risk day - fomc today If trendline break and the double orange bands break Divergence bear formed. This is a contrarian trade - risk going against trend - going only with confirmation no trade yet.
$TLT PT $150
Tue, 19 Sep 2017 14:47:40 -0500
$TLT PT $150
Monthly Bearish Crab.
Thu, 14 Sep 2017 23:47:33 -0500
Monthly Bearish Crab hit the 38.2% Will it take a pinch of the 61.8% too£
Bonds Gaining Strength
Thu, 31 Aug 2017 18:02:37 -0500
10% upside potential
TLT bonds BIG W pattern analysis + Divergence + wedge
Wed, 30 Aug 2017 18:03:32 -0500
Lot of hints towards a retrace. Overthrow, previous resistance point. Big W. Wedge. SPY showing signs of a downside resolution. Bear divergence in indicators.
TLT - Medium Term (Daily) - Structure
Tue, 29 Aug 2017 13:34:22 -0500
TLT - The 20 year + treasury ETF Just open today (Aug - 29) at the highs of the year. This after a strong Bid in the market for safety. I cant seem to get an accurate wave count on TLTs but following the trend for the year is been to the up side. Sense the beginning of the year price has been in a channel higher, Resistance is @128.57 the 2017 High and near term support @126.26 Looking at Gold which is making new highs for the year, Bonds on the other hand has yet to se that momentum. If the rising bottom channel breaks then I would Reevaluate my bullish assessment, until then my medium term bias is to the up side. Key medium term Levels to Note: 128.57 2017 Highs Key Resistance 130.00 2016 Gap and 50% Retracement of the highs of 2016 to the low of 2017 126.00 Key support My Bullish Invalidation is a break of bottom channel line.
Back into Bonds, Barry Bonds.
Fri, 04 Aug 2017 09:33:44 -0500
I wanted to wait for a pull back to get some theta back into TLT - here it is. Sept 115/122 Put Spread (IRA) for $.63, 3 contracts. 2x stop loss, 50% win mgmt.
TLT- After a few weeks, it appears that TLT has broken the trend
Thu, 03 Aug 2017 17:31:13 -0500
See notes on charts
TLT getting interesting
Mon, 31 Jul 2017 22:26:57 -0500
Possible hidden bullish indicators and looks like a descending triangle
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