Trading Ideas
Close TLT long's. Go short.
Fri, 23 Jun 2017 12:56:35 -0500
Close TLT long's. Go short.
TRADE IDEA: TLT AUG 18TH 125/OCT 20TH 121 PUT DIAGONAL
Thu, 22 Jun 2017 18:00:29 -0500
Here, I'm just looking to do some old school inversely correlated action in treasuries to compliment a bullish SPY diagonal I'm working separately. Ordinarily, I'd hedge a bullish SPY setup with a bearish SPY setup (e.g., an iron condor or a double diagonal) but working the call side of SPY is somewhat pesky due to skew, and I'd rather keep things somewhat simple in this low volatility stretch we're enduring here. In this particular case, I'm looking to receive a small net credit for the setup (.08) so that I'm not starting out "in the hole" in terms of reducing cost basis in the back month long (currently worth .88). As with all diagonals, there aren't many metrics to show, since it all depends on what happens during the life of the setup. However, here's what we do know: Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 3.92/contract Theta: .63 Delta: 9.66 During the life of the setup, look to roll the short put out for additional credit. Ideally, I ordinarily do this when it has lost 50% of its value, although it can naturally also increase in value; in the latter case, I consider rolling the short put away from current price -- again for a credit, particularly since narrowing the spread will decrease setup risk. Look to exit the setup for a debit that is less than total credits received during the life of the setup.
TLT Roadmap June 2017
Thu, 22 Jun 2017 04:46:13 -0500
Took some more time but arriving
TLT-Using TLT to forecast Mortgage Rates
Wed, 21 Jun 2017 19:16:41 -0500
This is a useful tool to track and forecast mortgage rate, typically 15, 20, and 30 year fixed.
6.19.2017 Trade Idea: TLT
Tue, 20 Jun 2017 20:41:30 -0500
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Resistance/Support Zone -> pullback forecast
Tue, 20 Jun 2017 14:19:17 -0500
I'm definitely more dovish than hawkish after last few months, but this looks like a cool down area for treasuries from previous price action.
Bonds Heading Higher
Sat, 17 Jun 2017 22:41:11 -0500
Cup and Handle measured move. Neckline break. Uptrend Channel. RSI holding strong. Pennant continuation pattern. Target set.
TLT: Multiple Gaps to be filled. Bullish Pennant forming. FOMC
Fri, 16 Jun 2017 11:05:19 -0500
Over-Confident with recent statements.
a big move and up cross 200ma
Wed, 14 Jun 2017 09:47:50 -0500
keep watching setup a new postion
Continued Scalp Short
Tue, 13 Jun 2017 10:19:56 -0500
-June 2nd levels
6.6.2017 Trade Idea: TLT
Mon, 12 Jun 2017 09:41:34 -0500
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Bullish Bullish for TLT !!
Fri, 09 Jun 2017 10:54:41 -0500
Growth is slowing in US. Yield curve has potential flat..Rate hike doesn't stop TLT goes higher !! Deflation is still here...
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