Trading NRG
Fed Relies on Forward Guidance – Keeps a “Wait and See” Message
Wed, 16 Dec 2020 21:24:00 +0000

The Federal Reserve convened this week for its last meeting in 2020. The Fed didn’t make any significant changes to its policy and provided accommodating forward guidance and some clarity on its asset purchase program. The Fed expects to purchase…

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Oil remains stable (for now) despite high uncertainty in the horizon
Thu, 30 Jul 2020 11:05:53 +0000

Since the negative rates of April, the oil market has partly recovered and settled around $40. The ongoing high uncertainty over demand, along with the changes in production in non-OPEC and OPEC countries, haven’t moved oil from its $40 mark…

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Spain’s Economic Woes Could Be Worse Than Currently Projected: Its GDP Could Fall by 20% This Year
Sun, 26 Apr 2020 19:05:40 +0000

In a recent report, the IMF predicted Spain’s GDP could contract by 8% in 2020; the Bank of Spain estimates this year’s decline could reach 12.4% if the lockdown lasts 12 weeks (for now, the lockdown is expected to last…

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Stocks rises are mostly Fed-fueled but this is not QE –MM #189
Wed, 19 Feb 2020 11:10:38 +0000

Stocks continue rising and ignoring depressing news. The Federal Reserve is the primary driver. We explain what the Fed is doing, why it is not QE and what’s next for stocks. A quick history for Fed action: The Federal Reserve…

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Is Europe dragging the global economy down£ A virtual tour of the world — MM #188
Tue, 14 Jan 2020 09:08:39 +0000

After a hiatus, Lior Cohen and Yohay Elam return with a virtual tour around the world, kicking off in Germany and encompassing the globe. What’s next for Europe, the US, and the central bank policy£ Germany in manufacturing recession: The…

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Powell Maintains A Dovish Stance, As The Fed Remains In The Sidelines
Fri, 13 Dec 2019 15:55:10 +0000

Unlike last year’s contentious FOMC meeting in December, this year’s rate decision was uneventful, as the Federal Reserve kept rates, as markets expected, unchanged. Looking forward, the Fed’s dot plot points towards no change in interest rates in 2020 and…

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The Donald Vs. Powell – When the Federal Reserve Is Politicized, Markets Worry
Fri, 02 Aug 2019 09:21:06 +0000

The Federal Reserve, as expected, lowered interest rates by 25bp to a range of 2% to 2.25%. One thing is emerging from Jay Powell, Fed’s Chair, and his way of conducting monetary policy – he doesn’t like to surprise the…

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The Fed Keeps The Market Hoping For a Rate Cut That Might Not Arrive Soon
Thu, 20 Jun 2019 16:35:05 +0000

The Federal Reserve recent monetary policy meeting ended, as expected, with no rate cuts, but it moved a bit towards considering lowering rates. Despite the dovish rhetoric from Chair Jerome Powell, the Fed’s signal to lower rates in the dot…

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Will The Yield Curve Inversion Predict The Next Recession£
Tue, 18 Jun 2019 19:33:27 +0000

The inversion of the yield curve has raised concerns in the media over the possibility of a recession in the next 12 to 18 months. Considering the inversion has been a reliable indicator during the past 40 years, it could…

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Vox’s Ascension In Spain Is Mainly about Immigration
Tue, 30 Apr 2019 09:08:46 +0000

The recent election in Spain (April 28) ended with three significant changes: The Socialist party (PSOE) was able to receive 122 seats (out of 350) – the most in 11 years. It won’t be enough for Pedro Sánchez to form…

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